Poll This

Alas! Despite tons of K'Ssam rockets, suicide bombers, rowdy resistence movements, sweet neckerchiefs, settlements, Arab League and the undeniable thirst for justice of anywhere from 200 million to 300 million members (physical or spiritual) of Arab League - for whatever reasons - Americans do NOT get it.

They still don't sympathise with Palestine - or Arab League.

"These abysmally low numbers on the Palestinians are due to their continuing failure to engage public opinion in the US.

"While the Israelis aggressively project their story, the Palestinians, the Arabs in general, do not.

"Fault certainly can be placed on the unbalanced way major US networks and press cover the Israeli-Palestinian story, but in this age where “new media” provide new possibilities and where many sectors of the US public (young people, women and minority communities) are more open than ever before to hearing a counter-narrative of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, this continuing decline in Palestinian ratings is worrisome and inexcusable"

Really? Au contraire mon frer!

"Arabs, whatever their medieval achievements (as best I can understand, they were mainly achievements of transmission — "Arabic" numerals, for example, came from India) are politically hopeless.

Who can dispute this?

"Look at the last 50-odd years, since the colonial powers left. What have the Arabs accomplished? What have they built? Where in the Arab world is there a trace or a spark of democracy? Of constitutionalism? Of laws independent of the ruler's whim? Of free inquiry? Of open public debate? Where in your house is there any article stamped "Made in Syria?"

"Arabs can be individually very charming and capable, and perform very well in free societies like the U.S.A. There are at least two recent Nobel prizes with Arab names attached. Collectively, though, as nations, the Arabs are no-hopers.

So, what is magically about the two Palestines?

"Everywhere you look around the Arab world you see squalor, despotism, cruelty, and hopelessness. The best they have been able to manage, politically speaking, has been the Latin-American style one-party kleptocracies of Egypt and Jordan.

"Those are the peaks of Arab political achievement under independence, under government by their own people. The norm is just gangsterism, with thugs like Assad, Qaddafi, or Saddam in charge. It doesn't seem to be anything to do with religion: the secular states (Libya, Syria) are just as horrible as the religious ones like Saudi Arabia.

"We are all supposed to support the notion of a Palestinian state.

"Why?

"We know perfectly well what it would be like. Why should we wish for another gangster-satrapy to be added to the Arab roll of shame, busy manufacturing terrorists to come here and slaughter Americans in their offices?

A Palestinian state?

"I think I'd be crazy to want that."

Pic - "Road Map To Nowhere"

Temptress

"The American girl knows seductiveness lies in the round breasts, the full buttocks, and in the shapely thighs, sleek legs and she shows all this and does not hide it."

Direct Hit! Fire For Effect!

Imperial M'Hammedist Qutb - the spiritual poppa of Caliphaters au courant - and his diss of Great Satan's

"...libertine culture would not matter much were it not wedded to a kind of theological Leninism that emphasized the necessity of violently overthrowing any political arrangement not based on Shariah law.

"No less violent was Qutb's attitude toward Jews: "The war the Jews began to wage against Islam and Muslims in those early days [of Islamic history]," he wrote in the 1950s, "has raged to the present. The form and appearance may have changed, but the nature and the means remain the same."

"Needless to say, that passage was written long before Israel had "occupied" a single inch of Arab territory, unless one takes the view—held to this day by Hezbollah, Hamas, al Qaeda, Jemaah Islamiyah and every other jihadist group that owes an intellectual debt to Qutb, including significant elements of the "moderate" Palestinian Fatah—that Tel Aviv itself is occupied territory.

"Bear in mind, too, that the America Qutb found so offensive had yet to discover Elvis, Playboy, the pill, women's lib, acid tabs, gay rights, Studio 54, Jersey Shore and, of course, Lady Gaga.

"In other words, even in some dystopic hypothetical world in which hyper-conservatives were to seize power in the U.S. and turn the cultural clock back to 1948, America would still remain a swamp of degeneracy in the eyes of Qutb's latter-day disciples.

"This, then, is the core complaint that the Islamists from Waziristan to Tehran to Gaza have lodged against the West.

"It explains why jihadists remain aggrieved even after the U.S. addressed their previous casus belli by removing troops from Saudi Arabia, and why they will continue to remain aggrieved long after we've decamped from Iraq, Afghanistan and even the Persian Gulf.

"As for Israel, its offenses are literally inextricable: as a democracy, as a Jewish homeland, as a country in which liberalism in all its forms, including cultural, prevails.

"Which brings me back to the settlements. There may well be good reasons for Israel to dismantle many of them, assuming that such an act is met with reciprocal and credible Palestinian commitments to suppress terrorism and religious incitement, and accept Israel's legitimacy as a Jewish state.

"But to imagine that the settlements account for even a fraction of the rage that has inhabited the radical Muslim mind since the days of Qutb is fantasy: The settlements are merely the latest politically convenient cover behind which lies a universe of hatred.

"If the administration's aim is to appease our enemies, it will get more mileage out of banning Lady Gaga than by applying the screws on Israel.

"It should go without saying that it ought to do neither.

Pic "Maybe this time, I'll be yours and you'll be mine"

Black Widows

Enemy tactics and strategies that the Russians feared, faced, fought to salvage an almost total defeat in Chechnya (despite leveling the capitol Grozny - twice) into a managable draw returns with the attack of the Black Widows.

"Chechen Jihad " documents that girl survivors often carried out recon missions and suicide attacks and that Chechnya became a laboratory for years, featuring a weird hook up of native Chechen separatists and Imperial M'Hammedists

From all over Central Asia and the ME, rejectionists with an evil penchant for victims, sharia law and explosives have joined forces to replenish al Qaeda and the world wide mohammedist movement to continue the attack on anything not remotely resembling a romanticsed reactionary 8th century fantasy.

"Chechens are professional fighters—disciplined and responsible, with a combination of skills, expertise, and character that has made them the most sought-after 'force multipliers' in the jihadist movement."

Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine, Lebanon, Kurdistan, Caucasas, Algeria, the Balkans, Sudan, Kashmir and Azerbijian. To name a few.

Chechens appear wherever Jihadi mini theocracies are in danger of collapsing.

Chechens also appear wherever Jihadi theocracies are exporting murder, mayhem and torment to their neighbors.

Secular mercenary Chechens also appear whenever Vlad needs some military influence in old school Soviet Republics that have splintered into an astounding number of provinces, peoples and independence movements.

Pic "‘Her debts became so great she was told she had to pay with her life’"

Containment Myth

One of the brightest stars in Great Satan's diplopolititary skies unleashes a raison l'terribles

"Quietly, the policy consensus in official Washington appears to be shifting toward the idea that the emergence of a nuclear Iran would be a manageable - even benign - event.

"In recent weeks, a rash of articles and expert commentaries in such publications as The Washington Post, the New York Times and Foreign Affairs have floated the idea that, just like the Soviet Union in its day, a nuclear Iran can, in fact, be successfully contained and deterred.

"But can it? A closer examination of Iranian ideology and of the dynamics of deterrence offers ample reason for skepticism that, when it comes to nuclear possession, Tehran will, in fact, behave just like Moscow.

"For one thing, deterrence and containment aren't automatic, and nuclear possession is not necessarily stabilizing. Policymakers today tend to forget that the "balance of terror" that dominated relations between Washington and Moscow in the latter decades of the Cold War was preceded by about 15 years of bilateral crises that brought the world perilously close to nuclear annihilation.

"This instability had a great deal to do with the immaturity of both the United States and the Soviet Union, which back then were novice nuclear possessors uncertain of how to wield - and manage - their newfound atomic clout.

"Only later did Moscow and Washington (and subsequently, Beijing) manage to strike some sort ofmodus vivendi. Until they did, the world was a very dangerous place.

The Middle East is likely to go the same way.

"The geopolitical jockeying among these nearly nuclear states, and between them and a newly nuclear-armed Iran, is likely to make the Middle East a dramatically more dangerous place in the years ahead.

"None of which should blind policymakers in Washington to the fact that the rise of a radical, nuclear-armed regional hegemon in the Middle East would constitute a major setback for international security and for long-term American interests.

"Adopting a policy of containment would only serve to make such an outcome more likely.

Pic "Nothing cool about a nuked up Preacher Command"

Crisis Simulation

Ah yes - the Iran Wargames.

Caveat!

"Simulations compress time and often oversimplify events.

"Often they underestimate the risk of error — for example, that by using faulty intelligence leaders can misinterpret a random act as part of a pattern of aggression.

"In this case, the actions of the American and Israeli teams seemed fairly plausible; the players knew the bureaucracy and politics of both countries well.

"Predicting Iran’s moves was another matter, since little is known about its decision-making process.

Exactly correct

"Iran, while wounded, sees long-term opportunities to unify its people - and to roll over its opposition parties - on nationalistic grounds. Its strategy is to mount low-level attacks on Israel while portraying the United States as a paper tiger - unable to control its ally and unwilling to respond to Iran.

"Convinced that the Saudis had colluded with the Israelis, and emboldened by the measured initial American position, Iran fires missiles at the Saudi oil export processing center at Abqaiq, and tries to incite Shiite Muslims in eastern Saudi Arabia to attack the Saudi regime.

"Iran also conducts terror attacks against European targets, in hopes that governments there will turn on Israel and the United States.

"After a meeting of its divided leadership, Iran decides against directly attacking any American targets - to avoid an all-out American response

Nuance is a very fine thing - subtle perhaps - and Iran has conducted T type operations against hapless Euro powers before (kidnapping British sailors in broad daylight comes to mind) but plotting and projecting terrorist activities even with those wonderfully credibility denying proxies could also function as a death sentence for the Regime.

And this is the schwerpunkt of any sexed up war games.

Instead of focusing on wmd Witchcraft, enrichment interruptus etc - focus on killing the regime itself, it's precious assets, super stars regional and at home like Revo Guard HQ, al Qods HQ, and Beeseeji Command

Hiz'B'Allah would almost certainly be deployed in a wide variety of activities from local to world wide scale, so HBA should be on the rec'ving end of a nasty, unannounced 1st strike surprise on day one.

Great Satan should prep for a regime killing regime change and that means a heavy dose of v. Clausewitz, outside the box thinking, legal chicanery, hybrid 4th Generational warfare and becoming cold blooded about xforming asymmetrical warfare into an art form.

Pic - "By Day 5, Iran is completely paralyzed - unable to respond or retaliate - the Regimes highest levels missing in action" with Avril

Turning On The Charm

At a recent event, a favored hottie literally blew it (after imbibing way more draft than her tiny tiny body weight could safely contain), flopped out and spectacle'd herself in front of her friends, frenemies, potential suitors and the general public.

Truly an event memorable for the appearance it created.

Yet less than a week later - she had recovered her desirability status, won new friends, influenced people and put paid to funk obsessed fans complaining, dissing and dissertating her faux pas giganteus.

How did she manage that?

Easy!

She turned on the charm.

Can such shiz be applied to the crunk and disorderly world of the diplopolititary?

Like the recent doofusness betwixt 44 and Little Satan?

Oui Oui M'sieur!

Little Satan currently enjoys off the hook love from Great Satan - despite 44's inexplicable lurch to 'getting mean with homies' and sucking up to autocrats, control freaks and generally nasty regimes in general.

This happy fact could be used about as subtle as a Merkava Panzer crushing a home grown Izzy deen al K'Ssam rocket squad in broad daylight on live al J'Zeera:

Recently called the "Most Dangerous Cat In DC," Little Satan's Ambassador to Great Satan - the one and only Dr Michael Oren (Oh! He got game! ) should be launching a PR Media blitz all over cable, new and lame stream media.

This is a significant advantage that Little Satan should be deploying to her designs and delights:

Unlike former leaders - ancient overtly robust cats with a super thick unfamiliar Russian accent - Little Satan 's new school cats often speak English way more better than many English teachers in Great Satan.

Shaping the narrative may be as fun as shaping the battlefield - instead of trying to explain how a rowdy assetted Zoning Commission works - PM BiBi and his 'Merican fluent posse could laughingly paint a far diff pic - demolishing the unfair, uncool and UN non binding narratives that Little Satan haters are using.

Essential counters that could and should used are:

"Essentially, the strategic and diplomatic case for the settlements is that only the threat of further land losses will bring the Palestinians to the bargaining table.

"In 1947 the Palestinians rejected a partition plan that included much more territory than they retained after the 1948 war.

"The 1967 boundaries that Palestinians now criticize Israelis for violating were considered illegitimate until the Six Day War made them obsolete.

"Without the threat of more settlements, it’s not clear what the incentives are for the Palestinians to accept a territorial compromise based on the 1967 frontiers.

"Why not continue the sixty-year policy of resistance and rejection, alternating between violent and non-violent methods, while hoping for changes in the regional or global balance of power?

"The only way to make the 1967 boundaries look attractive to the Palestinians is to threaten them with something significantly worse.

Feel free to hit them up here with this advantage that, for whatever reason, Little Satan is NOT taking advantage of:

info@washington.mfa.gov.il

Pic - "I'm a good girl and would never ever do that"

Future Pic

One of Great Satan's Army intell cats shares an interesting future pic of where future situation room occupants may have came from...

"The year is 2030 and four leaders—two military, two civilian—sit around a table at the White House or the Pentagon, perhaps, or at a military headquarters or embassy halfway around the world. One is an Army general, an infantryman by trade, who has spent his entire thirty-year-plus career rotating to and from the war zones of what was once called the Global War on Terror and then changed during the Obama administration to the more anodyne Overseas Contingency Operations.

"The second is an Air Force general, a former fighter pilot who has spent his recent years focusing on more conventional threats, among them how to deal with rogue states via airpower.

"The third is a Foreign Service officer who has spent much of his career engrossed in the political and economic side of irregular warfare, sometimes embedded with the military, other times manning a remote diplomatic outpost in some hostile precinct.

"The fourth is a more traditional political appointee: well educated and well connected, he has spent most of his career outside government, but very much inside the Washington world of policy debates.

"The participants in this hypothetical meeting exemplify four very different types of leaders, who, if current trends continue, will all be coming to prominence and power by 2030. All come to the table with institutional biases; all boast strong, Type A personalities. None of them come from the same background; none of them speak the same language.

"It is conceivable, then, that a situation may arise in which an Army officer of 2030 might have more shared experience with a Foreign Service officer than with his Air Force or Navy counterpart. As a result, the traditional competition of “civilian versus warrior” will be replaced by a series of new relationships and alliances.