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Morning, Glory!
As Suriya al- Kubra gets crunk and disorderly and nose dives straight into hello, the insurgency has done like exploded into civil war.
Free Syrian Army's voltiguers - the first all volunteer Army in Arab World History- have panzerliciously amped up the asymmetrical action (thanks Libya!!) from Che style guerrilla chiz into something more like set piece battles - sweetly swaying back and forth like a mini version of Seelow Heights - vowing ain't no stopping til their taking a leak on Palace grounds and scoring Bashar Bay Bee's pron collection
And that is significant
The Assad regime faces a dilemma: the harder it fights, the stronger the
opposition -- both armed and unarmed -- becomes. This contributes to
the perception that it is slowly losing control of territory and the
situation as a whole.
Sooo if the illegit Allawicious regime led by Dr General President For Life al Assad were to totally collapse or cling to power it's gon be bloody L
The worry here is that, as the country's majority Sunni population takes
power, the minority groups that did well under the Assad dynasty will
be targeted. The troubling slogan, "Christians to Beirut, Alawis to the
coffin" that has been heard from time to time
at opposition rallies is not particularly reassuring. Nor can either
group take comfort in the fate of Iraq's formerly dominant Sunni
minority and previously tolerated Christian community when imagining
what things might look like for them in a post-Assad order.
The stage could thus be set for a cycle of violence that would be
difficult to break. The Sunni insurgency in Iraq is one example of the
form such violence could take. Another possibility is that Syria would
fracture. If the core of Syria is "lost" to a Sunni-based Arab movement
after the fall of Assad, then the logic of large-scale ethnic cleansing
to create compact regions, seen in the Balkan wars in the 1990s, could
surface here. As in Iraq, there are different geographic regions where
Syria’s minority groups form the local majority. For the Alawites, the
coastal areas around the city of Lattakia -- where, incidentally, the
last remaining Russian military base outside the former Soviet Union,
the port of Tartus, happens to be located -- are their strongholds.
And unlike in Libya, where any negative consequences from the overthrow
of Moammar Gadhafi could be minimized in terms of the impact on the
larger region, there is no such cushion for Syria. A Sunni government,
particularly one strongly influenced by the Muslim Brotherhood, would
change the whole balance of power in the neighborhood, to begin with by
breaking the Assad government’s ties with Iran, which permit Tehran to
expand its influence throughout the region.
Neither Iran nor Hezbollah in Lebanon would welcome those developments.
Already there are reports that Iranian Revolutionary Guards and
Hezbollah fighters have supported the pro-Assad forces,
and both would have strong incentives to back an Alawite insurgency
against a Sunni-dominated regime. Sectarian strife in Syria would risk
destabilizing both Iraq and Lebanon, which is why Lebanese Druze leader
Walid Jumblatt has been urging his fellow Lebanese politicians
to work to “isolate Lebanon from the Syria problem.” And the Hashemite
monarchy in Jordan, already coping with the strains of coping with Iraqi
refugees as well as the perennial issue of the kingdom’s Palestinians,
could be overwhelmed by new refugee flows from the north.
In such a worst-case scenario, would the West be willing to intervene to
stop sectarian battles by deploying peace-enforcement troops on the
ground?
Pic - "Sure! Guys have feelings too - but like - who cares?"
WoW - the Watchers Council
- it's the oldest, longest running cyber comte d'guere ensembe in
existence - started online in 1912 by Sirs Jacky Fisher and Winston
Churchill themselves - an eclective collective of cats both cruel and
benign with
their ability to put steel on target (figuratively - natch) on a wide
variety of topictry across American, Allied, Frenemy and Enemy concerns,
memes, delights and discourse.
Every week these cats hook up each other with hot hits and big phazed
cookies to peruse and then vote on their individual fancy catchers.
Without further adieu - (or a don't) here are this weeks winners
Council Winners
Non-Council Winners
See you next week! And don’t forget to follow us on Facebook and Twitter.
Paradox!
As best understood - a statement of some kind that appears self-contradictory yet actually semi sorta has a foundational hello of or in truth.
"Danged if ya do - danged if ya don"t"
Like Little Satan"s ever imminent strike on Iran's new clear chiz?
2 possible ways to dissuade Little Satan from such an attack:
Preacher Command
could finally open serious negotiations for a formula to verifiably
guarantee that the unclear new clear programme will remain a civilian one;
or Great Satan could step up her covert actions to degrade the program so
much that Little Satan would decide that military action wasn’t necessary.
Whoa!!
A “short-war” scenario assumes five days or so of limited Little Satan strikes, followed by a U.N.-brokered cease-fire. Little Satan is said
to recognize that damage to the nuclear program might be modest,
requiring another strike in a few years.
That Short Strike Sounds Sweet - yet hold the happiness please:
Iran already has the technical means to produce a nuclear bomb, and an
attack could set the program back by no more than a few years — of value
in itself but not a solution.
Iran has hundreds of Shahab missiles capable of striking Little Satan. And along with Syria,
Iran has provided Hiz"B"Allah with an almost unfathomable arsenal of more
than 50,000 rockets, designed precisely for this scenario, which can
blanket all of Israel from Lebanon.
There is no reason to believe that Hiz"B"Allah will not use this arsenal. During the 2006 Lebanon war, Hiz"B"Allah fired 4,000 rockets at Little Satan,
about one-third of its 13,000-missile arsenal at the time; if it were to
employ a similar ratio today — and it could be far larger — the results
would cause a level of destruction Israel has never before experienced.
Hamas too has a large rocket arsenal in waiting, but "just" thousands.
True - enough - thus a short war against Iran may naughtily nee" necessity require some pre emptive preventive projectile provocateuring
Furthermore, the destabilization of the regimes in Egypt
and Syria, following the Arab Spring, greatly increases the dangers
that they too might be drawn into the confrontation. Syria, because it
may have an interest in deflecting domestic unrest by focusing public
attention on an external enemy. Egypt, because the new Islamist-based
government will, at very best, be far less committed to peace with
Israel. An explosion of popular fury on the Egyptian and Arab street may
force it to act.
O really? LOLZ!! Yeah riiiight - ebberdobby 'members Arab Street's rage when Little Satan refrained from going Grozy on the Strip and flung Cast Lead by the bucket load (fully crunk with willie P!!) back in the day - bout as rageful as when Commonwealth did go Grozny on Grozny
What will the mighty mighty (impotent) Aegypt or Arab League do exactly? Beat up more of their own girls? Surge J!hajies into B'Kah Valley and Sinai?
Arab League's Military power is a laugh - besides the Saudilanders would most likely diss or at least dilute any retaliation against Little Satan for putting paid to their own enemies in Iran or Leb Leb Lebanon
High stakes!
A nuked up seemingly unhinged Preacher Command with eyes on Imperium, and a radical (haha!) realignment of strategic import with all the money traps containment means and a potential risk to Little Satan"s' existence versus the uncertain results of military action, the likelihood of a
devastating Iranian/Hiz"B"Aallah response, the risk of an end to the peace
with Egypt and even a military confrontation (zzzz) and regional war, severe
international opprobrium
Pic - "Strike Package"
Bang Your Head!
"...like a razor - got a mouth like an alligator..."
Alligator Mississippiensis 'death rolls' in combat
not unlike Sugar Daddies in the courting phase - short bursts of
incredible speed, a mouth full of sharp sharp pointy teeth that can uh,
devour, small prey and hauling off worthy booty to stash in a climate
controlled environment for later, thorough enhanced
observation/exploration of tender, sensitive portions.
Can such animalistical ascertainment get all asymmetrical RE: Great Satan"s Hot! Hyperpuissant Combatty chiz?
RAWR!!
Forward from the Sea is way more than a catchy hello to weave and wave - like
the aforementioned Sugar Daddy Gators - Great Satan continues to put the
amp in amphibbing bay bee.
See, the Teufel Hunden only Operation Dawn Blitz
gets crunked up beyond repair in a shamelessly sexyful strike whee
hearsal session with Great Satan's multi services and allied gators
storm beaches b!tches!
Bold Alligator 2012!!
“This exercise deals with large numbers of small-boat threats,
irregular threats, not easy to identify in the complex battle space,
which could be used to describe just about the entire Persian Gulf, The
exercise deals with both regular and irregular
threats, as well as with shore-based cruise missiles!!"
“When we constructed the scenario, we put it against what we called a
moderate force, or a medium force with moderate ability, who denies
access into theater and actually on land. And we did that
purposely because of the force that we’re exercising, so it’s not
patterned after any contingency planning, if you will.”
Oh yessir! Dang sho will!!
Leathernecker GEN Hejlik puts steel on target
Indeed, despite the fact that large numbers of Marines have been
committed to the fight in Iraq and Afghanistan over the last decade, our
Navy-Marine team has been regularly conducting amphibious operations
around the world. From providing aid to flood-ravaged Pakistan, to strike operations and a successful TRAP in Libya, ARG-MEUs continue to operate from the sea, across the range of military operations, all over the world.
In today’s world, the Navy-Marine Corps team must remain capable of
gaining access to an operational area and projecting and sustaining a
sizable landing force ashore. We have the legislated responsibilities to
be able to conduct these operations, and we certainly must be ready to
do so beyond the ARG-MEU level where we routinely operate today.
Admiral H agrees
Executing these operations successfully, as we’ve done so many times in our history, will always, repeat always,
rely first and foremost on our ability to operate and fight as a
Navy-Marine team. We’ve fought alongside each other for over 236 years –
from the first Navy-Marine landing at Nassau in 1776, to the many
amphibious assaults during WWII to the game-changing landing at Inchon
in 1950 – this operation is certainly not new for us; in fact, it’s at
the very core of who we are as Sailors and Marines (One Team, One
Fight!).
GsGf"s Teufel Hunden Aviation advisors sex up the in air action along with Navy friends too off the coasts of Virginia, Noth Cackalackey and Florida til almost St Valentine"s Day!!
With seaborne heart breakers from France, the Eyetyes, Canada, Great Britain, Down Under Yonder, Nederlanders, Hispania,
New Zealand (way more hotter than Oldzealand) and
unverified gossip hints even Little Satan has some observers checking
out all the extra textralicious high seas hi jinkery - Bold Alligator 2012 reminds lottie dottie everbody:
Great Satan created the modern world. And she knows her way around.
Pic -
"Courtney, build your understanding of amphibious operations history,
doctrine, and tactics — then grow it. This is what we are about, and
what our Nation needs us to be."
Quick quiz!
What's way more better than, uh huh, a single, uh, event at a time?
Easy!
Simultaneous 'events' of course!
Oh, it is so - see, one of Great Satan"s multiple combat charms l'guerre is her magical hyperpuissant abilities to project and provide force whenever the need - or even opportunity arises.
Recent non profit jawflapping about Great Satan forsaking certain turf to angle her hot bod to create other angles in the PACRIM Pivot has been laughingly LOL"d by the highest levels of Great Satan"s civilian Military Command and Control grrls!
“We are retaining full capability to confront more than one aggressor
anywhere in the world, even if we are engaged in large-scale operations. Great Satan will be able to quickly deny the objectives of an opportunistic adversary.”
Whoa! Opportunistic Adversaries may be like girls night out - traveling in packs, icy appraising stare - searching for an op to have their way. And working in tandem to take advantage of fellow members of the loose autocratic league's semi hegemonic hi jinkery!
GsGf"s Military Aerospace Adviser "splains:
“We could be trying to break a blockade in the South China Sea, we could be reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and go after a terrorist cell in
Somalia all at the same time. It’s different capabilities Courtney; it could be a bunch of different things!”
Sweeet!
See - it's not about if Great Satan has the ability to act out in response - rather how she should act act against uncool provocative provocations propagated per puissant posers:
“The emphasis throughout the review—from 44 to Uncle Leon on down—has been that the size, structure, and capabilities of
our military must be driven by strategy, not the other way around. To protect our country and maintain Great Satan"s leadership, we
need to set smart, sensible priorities for the future.”
4 Principles are the GPS for Great Satan's continuing role in the world - unique - the only one of her kind!
"Maintain the U.S. global leadership role; avoid hollowing the
force; balance savings and ensure that the U.S. can still conduct
combat operations and deal effectively with aggression in more than one
theater at a time.”
Pic - "Simply no other choice"