Umbrella

"When the sun Shine -We shine Together Told you i'll be here Forever -
Said I'll always be your friend come on and stick it out till the end
Now that it's raining more then ever We'll still have each other
You can stand under my Umbrella"

So sang the sexyful sultry siren - one of Great Satan's little hottie treasures - Rihanna in her smash break out single "Umbrella"

And if leaky leaks are correct - this is a break out of sorts for foreign policy that the recent hook up with CFR and Brooking's Saban Center never took into account.

A guaranteed nuclear snuggle blanket may be interpreted as a sign that Iran is past the point of enrichment interruptus - which gives real sharp sharp pointy teeth to Pyramidland's Pres for Life Hosni recent proclamation that any Shia crescent stretching from Persia to the Med and Red seas is an Iranian plan to "...devour the Arab world."

Evidently, Iran is unsatiated after her proxies munched on huge bits of Lebanon and is staring to bite Egypt. Fake riots in Tehran storm the Egyptian embassy over Egypt's wicked abandonment of nearly a million and a half Egyptians that magically became Palestinians in the Strip

Much of the dramarama is quite retarded: One of the main disputes between the two states was the naming of a Tehran street after the assassin of former Egyptian President for Life Anwar Sadat, which Iran later agreed to change to Intifada Street in reference to the Palestinian resistance in the occupied West Bank and Gaza.

In return, Supeme Leader wants Egypt to change the name of a street in Cairo named after the late Shah Reza Pahlavi, who is also buried in the al-Rifai mosque in the Egyptian capital.

Iran leaked a few leaks too - namely that 44's soon to be under fire Chief of Staff is actually a spy guy for Little Satan - cementing control of Great Satan for those naughty land snatching, honor besmirching, despot dissing, nigh indestructable Zionists sweetly snuggling with Great Satan like a cat under that warm, comfy and soft nuclear blanket.

1st - it is totally corrct to embrace all democracys that hang out in tough hoods. Soko, Nippon, Taiwan, not just Israel.

Umbrella is also forward thinking. Arab League for nearly 60 years has followed the retarded Khartoum Conference with the "3 No's" - No recog of Israel, no negotiations with Israel and no Peace with Israel.

All it has gained them is a resurgent enemy, a militant shia crescent from Persia to the Red and Med seas that unlike Arab League - has a track record of success in battling Little Satan and spouting up regime threatening rocket rich proxies.

Umbrella gives Arab League the impetus for officially recognizing Little Satan which would put HAMAS and Hiz'B'Allah in the interesting light of being pretty good at resisting - yet totally suck at anything else like running a government.

Syria would have to reconsider serious negotiations, and Arab League would have a chance to hook up, man up and stand up to protect their own regimes for Iranian hegemony.

Great Satan's extension of Nuclear Deterrrence to Litle Satan is as significant as Otto v. Bismarck's interlocking alliances that created and maintained Europa's dominant power and peace for decades, establishing ala Linus, a security blanket that allows all actors in the ME to prep for the future instead of wallowing in the the past

It also combines Great Satan's ME policies (and that of enemies, frienemies and friends) under one overarching roof.

Or umbrella.

Pic - Daemoneoconia Magazine December 2008

Signs and Wonders

So sweet indeed is the proclamation of Great Satan's Foreign Policy gurus that any tete' a tete with Iran should be directed at the top cat - Supreme Leader.

Non profit jawflapping with Rafsanjani, Larinjani or even the fiery little rocketeer A Jad means nothing.

Ex (and perhaps future) Ambassador Dennis Ross drew a pic for 44:

"Everywhere you look in the Middle East today, Iran is threatening
U.S. interests and the political order. One Arab ambassador told me recently that the Iranians are reminding Arab leaders that America didn't help Fuad Siniora, the prime minister of Lebanon, or Mikheil Saakashvili, the president of Georgia, when they got into trouble -- that in fact Washington left them high and dry.

Iran, by contrast, is close by and not going anywhere."

If Preacher Command acts out like that now - reckon the havoc a nuke powered Mullahopolis harbinges.

"Tehran clearly wants nukes for both defensive and offensive
purposes. But it's not clear the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, would sacrifice anything to get nuclear weapons.

In fact, history shows that his government responds to outside
pressure, restricting its actions when it feels threatened and taking advantage when it judges it can. "

A sweet hook up between 2 of Great Satan's premier think tanks - CFR and Saban @ Brookings unleased a massive missive "Restoring the Balance". All the superfly stars are out - including Ken Pollack, Michael O'Hanlon (these 2 cats were the first cats to tour Iraq and report Surge totally rocked) Richard Haass, Stephen Biddle, and Martin Indyk.

Suzanne Maloney and Ray Takeyh tackle the Persian problem in chapter 3

"Any new approach to Iran must be grounded in the recognition that no
movement on the core issues of interest to the United States will be possible without the approval of Iran’s supreme leader."

Understanding that Khamenei is the appropriate starting point for any
American engagement clarifies the task but also underscores the challenges.

Although Khamenei has condoned talks with Washington in recent
years, his writings and public rhetoric since 1979 contain nothing that
would suggest he harbors any positive sentiments toward Washington."

Supreme Leader's Foreign Policy site reveals quite a few hints:

Seyed Sadeq Kharrazi, the former Iranian ambassador to France

"The truth is that solving the problems between Iran and the US needs
a mutual understanding. A three decades old crisis cannot be solved overnight.

The most important step that the US can take in this regard is putting an end to confrontation with Iran, freeing Iran’s blocked assets and ending the sanctions imposed on Iran."

Hamid Reza Dehqani Poodeh, the head of Persian Gulf and ME studies center in Iran’s foreign ministry gives pretty clear bounderies on that 'understanding'.

Essentially recognising Iran's shia crescent from Persia to the Med and Red Seas.

"Saudi Arabia doesn’t support full intervention of U.S. in the region for
security establishment; Iran believes it deserves to be the chief regional
power.

"Iraq, once vying for Arab leadership, doesn’t have the potential to reassert the claim because of its geopolitical limitations in the Persian Gulf, passing of its oil pipes from rivals’ territories and most important of all, internal problems emerged after invasion.

Iran's Foreign Policy recent study "The Iranian Role in the Regional Stability"
concludes:

"It is undeniable that Iran plays and will play a key role in shaping the
new regional balance in the Middle East, and even more so considering that the Iranian political stability is a factor that few states in the region can show."

Art - "Mehdi Mind Trick"

Coercive Diplomacy

Sir Harold Nicolson taught the classy definition of "diplomacy" in the historically essential "Peacemaking 1919" as

"the management of international relations by negotiation."

A century later, Great Satan's Madame Sec HRC 's diplomatic philosophy is pretty classy too.

"I believe in coercive diplomacy. You try to figure out how to move bad actors in a direction that you’d prefer in order to avoid more dire consequences."

Moving bad actors about on fun, free concepts like internat'l peace, nat'l security, and humanitarian justice can be done the fun friendly way - like with Libya - or the old school regime heave ho at the point of a thousand cruise missiles followed quick time with heathen hellions heralding hard won combat bona fides - the most proficient, high tech all weather killers of killers in recorded history.

Either way is fine.

Coercive diplomacy sweetly applies pressure in an irresistable manner and magnitude that

"seeks to persuade an opponent to cease aggression rather than
bludgeon him into stopping…just enough force of an appropriate kind to demonstrate resolution and to give credibility to the threat that greater force will be used if necessary."

Soft Power is never really soft. There is always Hard Power cruising the hood.

Why did Japan fall in love with baseball?

Why did Deutschland dig The Beatles?

Or Mommie India cotton to cricket?

Coercive diplomacy by definition includes - coercion.

Like in 1999. Milosevic dissed Madame Sec Madelaine's sweet talk to split from a bloody rampage in Kosovo and much to his dismay, ruin and death, rued the day he called Great Satan's bluff (though not before forcing a European war that Nato nearly lost).

Force and diplomacy reinforced the future credibility of threats.


Like in Libya. Jumped up junta Colonel/President for Life Khadaffy totally freaked when Great Satan defeated the largest Arab army in history and regime changed the living daylights out of Iraq in 20 days.

Opting for a policy change instead, Libya required firm and repeated reassurances that concessions on terrorism and WMD would not be the harbinger of doom that a full blown regime change often presents. Great Britain and Great Satan's secret talks, crucial communications with 3rd parties and verifiable supervision ensured desired behavior progressed as desired.

Sudan's Field Marshall President for Life Bashir (the International Criminal Court is set to issue an arrest warrant for Bashir on charges of genocide, crimes against humanity and war crimes) and his posse of intolerants are starting to freak too.


Soon to be Madame Secretary HRC has called for a NATO-enforced no-fly zone to sweetly "blanket" Darfur to keep Sudan from bombing villages. Future U.N. ambassador and cabinet member, Susan E. Rice has pushed for airstrikes and a naval blockade of Sudan's major port to prevent lucrative oil exports. Rice has vowed to "go down in flames" providing the 'coercive' in coercive diplomacy.


Military intervention could have dangerous consequences for Sudan - the largest nation in all of Africa and all nine of her neighbors.

Unnamed UN cats plea

"As revolting as this government may be, they are indispensable to solving the problem of Sudan. They are part of the problem and part of the solution. If the Obama administration is going to be driven by anger, then really, really it is going to be tragic, naive politics."

An unnamed advisor to 44 pointed out the naive move would be to think it is possible to trust Bashir's regime, a historical oathbreaker and highly unpopular across much of Sudan.

Military options, including covert operations and regime change, are likely to remain under serious discussion in the new administration.

"These people have been in power for almost 20 years. I doubt that the
majority of Sudanese would cry if they were ousted."

Pic "The world is a ho, beotch. And Great Satan is da pimp"

Peshawar Noir

Pakistan's Talibanistan recently scored big, striking two of Great Satan's motor pools/goodies depot and destroying enough battlefield transport to equip a mechanized infantry company in 2 different - simultaneous attacks.

Tactical chicanery with strategic import. Khyber Pass - the 'Top of the World" is a vital supply line from Karachi sea ports all the way into Afghanistan.

Khyber Pass was closed briefly two times - once in a makebelieve protest about Great Satan's cruise and heckfire missiles violating the inviolate turf (that appearantly only Taliban and al Qaeda can transgress with impunity) and once before when it got hit by a Taliban attack that alledgedly resulted in Pakistan's military to start riding shotgun.

No such Pakistani security was available when the Taliban attacked.

This is significant and on top of Mumbai massacre, offers a very uncool analysis regarding Land of the Pure and the bumper crop of heavily armed missile magnetic intolerants that seemingly run amok from the tips of mountain ranges to the floodplains of Pakistan and all the towns in between.

Taliban, al Qaeda, Lashkar-e-Taiba and a host of murderous agents of mayhem, sympathizers and fanboys are seemingly totally up to the necks in Pakistan's military and intell establishments.

Plus:

"Terror groups aren't just based in Waziristan and Kashmir. Much of
the Northwest Frontier Province and Baluchistan are under siege.

Last year, the Musharraf government had to launch a military assault on the Red Mosque, in the heart of Islamabad just one mile from the parliament building, to clear out rampaging Islamists enforcing sharia on the streets.

Rawalpindi, a supposedly secure military garrison and sister city
to Islamabad, has been rocked by terror attacks. Lashkar-e-Taiba's headquarters in Muridke is located just outside of Lahore in eastern Punjab province. The port city of Karachi is infested with extremists groups. These problems are merely the tip of the iceberg."

Taliban has launched a clever combat campaign to cut 70% of NATO's logistical link that stretches from Karachi to Peshawar to Khyber Pass to Kabul.

Despite gloating about a Pakistani military offensive against Taliban in the Khyber Pass area recently - multiple attacks in the last week in Peshawar indicate something else.

Taliban maybe about to take control of Peshawar itself. Northwest Frontier gov pleaded for some military relief in a Taliban controlled town of Jamrud

"The government has to take action or we shall see Iraq-like
situation in the area in the coming few months."

Pic - "Taleban Noir"

Infamy Day

The 7 December 1941 Japanese raid on Pearl Harbor was one of the great defining moments in history. A single carefully-planned and well-executed stroke removed the United States Navy's battleship force as a possible threat to the Japanese Empire's southward expansion. America, unprepared and now considerably weakened, was abruptly brought into the Second World War as a full combatant.



Eighteen months earlier, President Franklin D. Roosevelt had transferred the United States Fleet to Pearl Harbor as a presumed deterrent to Japanese agression. The Japanese military, deeply engaged in the seemingly endless war it had started against China in mid-1937, badly needed oil and other raw materials. Commercial access to these was gradually curtailed as the conquests continued.



In July 1941 the Western powers effectively halted trade with Japan. From then on, as the desperate Japanese schemed to seize the oil and mineral-rich East Indies and Southeast Asia, a Pacific war was virtually inevitable.



By late November 1941, with peace negotiations clearly approaching an end, informed U.S. officials (and they were well-informed, they believed, through an ability to read Japan's diplomatic codes) fully expected a Japanese attack into the Indies, Malaya and probably the Philippines. Completely unanticipated was the prospect that Japan would attack east, as well.



The U.S. Fleet's Pearl Harbor base was reachable by an aircraft carrier force, and the Japanese Navy secretly sent one across the Pacific with greater aerial striking power than had ever been seen on the World's oceans. Its planes hit just before 8AM on 7 December. Within a short time five of eight battleships at Pearl Harbor were sunk or sinking, with the rest damaged. Several other ships and most Hawaii-based combat planes were also knocked out and over 2400 Americans were dead.



Soon after, Japanese planes eliminated much of the American air force in the Philippines, and a Japanese Army was ashore in Malaya.



These great Japanese successes, achieved without prior diplomatic formalities, shocked and enraged the previously divided American people into a level of purposeful unity hardly seen before or since. For the next five months, until the Battle of the Coral Sea in early May, Japan's far-reaching offensives proceeded untroubled by fruitful opposition.



American and Allied morale suffered accordingly. Under normal political circumstances, an accomodation might have been considered.



However, the memory of the "sneak attack" on Pearl Harbor fueled a determination to fight on.



Once the Battle of Midway in early June 1942 had eliminated much of Japan's striking power, that same memory stoked a relentless war to reverse her conquests and remove her, and her German and Italian allies, as future threats to World peace.



Source - US Navy Historical Center




Pic - "Pearl Harbor"

2 State Illusion

In Foreign Policyland, there are tons of problems and opportunities that are chomping at the bit for 44 and the super powered League of Rivals.

Perhaps the most enduring of these must solve issues is one that seems invulnerble - the seemingly always on battle about Little Satan and Palestine's two bits - the Strip and West Bank.

Ancient avatars of the corrupt cult of stability, Brent Scowcroft and Zbigniew Brzezinski ritualize a rescue for the always just out of reach fakebelieve concept of the "2 State Solution".

"The major elements of an agreement are well known. A key element in any new initiative would be for the US president to declare publicly what, in the view of this country, the basic parameters of a fair and enduring peace ought to be.

These should contain four principal elements:

1967 borders, with minor, reciprocal and agreed-upon modifications;

compensation in lieu of the right of return for Palestinian refugees;

Jerusalem as real home to two capitals;

and a non-militarized Palestinian state. "

This is significant. And a problem.

Despite Oslo, Madrid, Sharm al Sheik, Roadmaps, quartets, duets, Pyramidland and Saudi Iniatives the fact remains the entire raison d'etre' has been twisted nearly beyond repair.

Consider: The 2 State solution is based on a deadly incorrect belief.

Way back in 1993, Great Satan and Little Satan first recog'd the Palestine Liberation Organization as the single legit representative of Palestinians and the Satans' view of the underlying cause of the Little Satan-Palestinian confrontation totally xformed.

Meaning?

Before that unhappy time, world view was divy'd up roughly into two outlooks.

For cats like Arab League, Collectivist Union time Russia and impotent Europa any conflict was not a refusal of the Arab world generally or the Palestinians specifically to accept Little Satan's right to exist, but Palestinian statelessness itself.


Great Satan and Little Satan both believed (and subsequent events seem to bear this out) that the casus belli for rowdiness in the ME was that nearly 350 million Arabs in the world steadfastly refused to recog the state of Little Satan, her right to exist, her battlefield victories or could even say the name "Israel" out loud.


UN Sec Reso #242, pretty much condenses into 2 deals for any “just and lasting peace in the Middle East.”

1st Little Satan should split the hood of embarrassing defeats for the Arab World - hard won turf sweetly acquired by desperate counter attacks that established Little Satan's military prowess - essentially and specifically the 6 Day War real estate booty.

2nd - Arab states must accept Little Satan's right to exist.

While Resolution 242 was kinda iffy about the extent of future Little Satan unassing territorial A.O. (areas of operation/occupation) withdrawals, the language on the 2nd part of the deal of a future Middle Eastern peace is quite sexplicit.

“termination of all claims of states of belligerency and
respect for and acknowledgement of the sovereignty, territorial integrity and political independence of every state in the area and their right to live in peace within secure and recognized borders free from threats or acts of force.”

Over the years, commitment to the Palestinians have become increasingly explicit and increasingly urgent.

Both Satans'seem to look at the fast creation of a magical Nakbah free nation state of Palestine regardless of the Palestinians’ unwillingness to accept Little Satan's right to exist as the primary aim of their Palestinian policies.

Hip and haunch with calls for the establishment of a Palestinian state seem to actually increase in direct proportion to the radicalization of Palestinian society.

The more radical Palestinian society becomes, the more intense the hot wicked desire to grant it sovereign statehood.

Sovereign statehood and Palestinians have never really seemed to hook up. Like their Arab brethern, Palestinians have consistently sour mouthed that Little Satan's property posse that 'occupied' precious Palestinian turf with an amazing immodestly, lack of restraint and blitzkrieg tactics is the main problem.

Fair enough - though it seems there are two different definitions for what exactly is the concept of occupation.

First glance, seems that only the lands the Palestinians claim are limited to Judea, Samaria and the sections of Jerusalem Little Satan conquered fair and square way back in the "Sgt Pepper - All You Need Is Love " summer in the 6 Day War, the Palestinians have never accepted this claim.

In fact, both symbolically and politically, the Palestinian Authority asserts that the areas under the so-called “occupation” include all of Little Satan.

General Scowcroft and Dr Brzezinski fail to mention any of this.

A renewed acknowledgement that Little Satan's battlefield gains way back in 1967 are not the raison de etre'of the conflict with the Palestinians. Rather, Palestinian and wider Arab rejection of Israel’s right to exist is the cause.

The reform and stabilization of Palestinian society depends on reorienting Palestinian society. Since the Palestinians themselves have never made the attainment of statehood their primary aim, whether a Palestinian state will ever get birthed is a weak guess.

It is totally clear that there is no chance that any Palestinian state that is a terrorist fiefdom at war with Little Satan will ever be established without reorientation, reformation and stabilization of Palestinian society first.

Celebrated recent arrival to the Dead Poets Society Nizar Qabbani's lustful demented lamented designs on Little Satan is an example:

"They left in our hands a can of sardines named Gaza, A dried bone
called Jericho An inn called Palestine, without a roof and without pillars. They left us a body without bones and a hand without fingers.

They granted us a homeland smaller than a grain of wheat. A
homeland we swallow without water like pills of aspirin!!"

Basing more polices RE: Palestine around mythic narratives of Little Satan's hedonistic appropriations for the Arab World's problems is retarded and are based on incorrect conclusions.

So far, the redux'd land for peace has not only totally failed to resolve the problem - it has made it worse. Everywhere Little Satan splits - intolerant (and currently Iranian fed and funded) rocket rich rejectionists tend to move in like HAMAS in the Strip and Hiz'B'Allah beyond Lebanon's 'Blue Line'.

High time to reassess, redress and stress that Little Satan ain't the problem.

Palestinian and Arab rejection of Little Satan's right to exist is.

Art - "2 State Illusion"

Winning The Next War

Way back in the last millennium, when Europa still enjoyed fighting amongst themselves ( about the time flintlocks xformed into rifles) Deutschland finally got free of Napoleon for the last time.

Furor teutonicus begat Prussian militarism and became a Western text in the essential "Vom Kriege" by von Clausewitz.

Nom de guerr'd in English as "On War" von Clausewitz is fully crunk with timeless observations, literally killer quotes and doctrine about waging war.

"The fact that slaughter is a horrifying spectacle must make us take war
more seriously, but not provide an excuse for gradually blunting our swords in the name of humanity.

Sooner or later someone will come along with a sharper sword and hack off our heads."

Great Satan's 30 year in the future military knows all about keeping blades shiny and sharp. Army Lieutenant Colonel William Wunderle and Air Force Major Gabriel Lajeunesse serve in the Joint Strategic Plans and Policy Directorate (J5) of the Joint Staff as Political-Military Planners with especial responsibility for Iran and Syria.

These regime changing cats recently unleashed "Winning the Next War" and the trend line is clear:

In the future, Great Satan is more likely to undertake missions requiring irregular warfare capabilities, as opposed to traditional large-scale ground combat operations. These conflicts do not occur in a vacuum. Complex sectarian, ethnic, and tribal affiliations cross boundaries and require consideration of regional realities that impact the conflict.

In 2007, there were 30 armed conflicts in 26 countries. 40% were in Africa, 36.7 percent in Asia, 13.3 percent in the Middle East, 3.3 percent in Europe, and 6.7 percent in the Americas.

A key component of military kickassedness will be the ability to understand the cultures of, and communicate with, people from many regions of the world.

Increased language and culture training will ultimately prove to be a powerful weapon in the American military’s arsenal..

As the once and future Def Sec Gates recently revealed

“… In a world of finite knowledge and limited resources,
where we have to make choices and set priorities, it makes sense to lean toward the most likely and lethal scenarios for our military…Smaller, irregular forces—insurgents, guerrillas, terrorists—will find ways, as they always have, to frustrate and neutralize the advantages of larger, regular militaries…”

Stirred, never shaken, "Winning the Next War" draws on combatty ops, society creating and enemy killing events Great Satan has been involved in since 911 and though it is more intense than a first date - it is actually a fun, fast, clever and very worthy read.

Teasers like Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance:

"Understanding an adversary requires more than finished intelligence and satellite photos. It requires an appreciation of their interests, habits, intentions, beliefs, social organizations, and political symbols..

Fighting a counterinsurgency involves a spectrum of operations, from humanitarian missions, peacekeeping and peace enforcement operations to full-blown combat—all possibly within a single brigade’s competence..

To transition between these elements as smoothly and seamlessly as possible, military leaders need situational awareness.

The success of the mission depends on the ability to bridge the cultural gaps both in war-fighting and in intelligence-gathering.

From a military perspective, cultural intelligence provides a means of capturing the nonmilitary elements of information that are especially relevant in stability and support operations."

Future World is a scary scary place, as intolerant, murderous, illegit regimes and terror fanboys plot and connive, survival is way too modest. Victory is the real deal.

"To win the next war, America’s leadership must continue to
emphasize the need for the entire government to be prepared to fight global terrorism and related small-scale conflicts like the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

This requires the full integration of all instruments of national
power, the cooperation and participation of friends and allies, and the support of the American people."

pic - "Future Army"