Friday, January 11, 2013

Faux Pas Fo Po

Faux Pas!

Often times in Girl World - making up stuff as you go along can kinda backfire

Can such be saithed about the world of the diplopolititary, pacifically - Foreign Policy? 

GsGf"s Internat"l Affairs Director cat says "Heck yeah!" 

44 likes to say that his approach is pragmatic. And it is. But pragmatism is reactive, not proactive. 44 addresses problems as they come up, simultaneously and separately. He articulates few priorities and no overall vision of where he is taking Great Satan or the world. He wants to end America’s involvement in wars and expects other countries to step up as America steps back. But if China steps up and Europe doesn’t, what then?

44 disconnects and downsizes threats. In Iraq he declared “mission accomplished” and left, even though Iran, which is right next door and presumably the biggest threat in the region, has now moved into Iraq to solidify support for the Shiite regime and to supply arms to jihadists in Syria, Lebanon, and Palestine. In Afghanistan, 44 incrementally downsized America’s goal from defeating Al Qaeda and the Taliban, to weakening the Taliban, to negotiating with the Taliban to rejoin the government—which is how 9/11 started, right?

He targeted and killed specific terrorists such as ObL—immunizing his otherwise feckless foreign policy—but in the process created a bigger problem, a destabilized Pakistan. In Iran, he seeks to stop the development of nuclear weapons but is negotiating secretly with Tehran to stop simply the public announcement of nuclear weapons. He is ready to accommodate an Iranian nuclear capability as long as Iran doesn’t declare it has nuclear weapons.

44’s foreign policy is long on diplomatic ambitions and short on force to back up those ambitions. The president addresses every diplomatic hot-spot on the planet, sending special envoys to the Middle East, Iran, Afpak, Sudan, and North Korea, among others. Meanwhile, he cuts defense spending, which might be needed to implement such initiatives.

In fairness, defense cuts were coming, as were troop withdrawals. But 44 makes the cuts with no apparent regret or planning. He did not visit the Pentagon until January 2012, three years into office, and then he announced new strategic defense guidance that ended the two-war doctrine of having capabilities adequate to fight simultaneous wars in two regions. That this guidance undercut both 44’s policy toward Iran as well as his new pivot to Asia did not seem to be noticed. Where are the forces coming from to reassure Asian allies? And if forces are drawn from the Middle East, where is the threat to back up sanctions on Iran or support for Israel if Iran gets nuclear weapons?

Not only has 44 reduced existing resources to back up his ambitious diplomacy, he has failed to revive the American economy and generate new resources for the future.   44 has no credible policy to spur growth. His strategy of massive spending increases, higher taxes, compounding regulations, indefinitely loose monetary policy, and testier trade policies has not worked to produce prosperity. And without growth and new resources, you can forget any expectations for foreign policy initiatives, ambitious or reactive.

leadership. Leadership offers vision, connects means and ends, and rises above politics. 44 has demonstrated no capacity to do any of those things, either in Congress or in the world community. The optimistic view is that he will do so now because he no longer faces reelection. But that seems unlikely. If you have won two elections as a state senator, one as a U.S. senator, and two as president, and you still have no significant accomplishments to show for it, it’s doubtful that your leadership skills will suddenly emerge in what is presumably your last four years in office.

The world is at risk. Highly doubtful and LOLable that other countries will step up to stop Russia and China from exploiting the advantages they hold outside of negotiations while they talk endlessly inside negotiations. Russia is expanding its influence in Georgia, Ukraine, Syria, Iran, and, as Great Satan, leaves central Asia. China is doing the same in North Korea, the Taiwan Strait, Pakistan, and along the first island chain in the Pacific. Someone has to be there to limit their options.

Meanwhile, American allies are restless, especially Little Satan and Japan. They know that if America retreats, it will be a game changer in their respective regions. Yet 44 appears to be doing just that. He is playing it fast and loose on the diplomatic scene as the economy idles and military resources are withdrawn from around the world. The little light that pundits saw between 44’s foreign policy and that of his opposition in the recent election is about to become a glaring gap, as America drifts and instability around the world increases. 

Pic -  "While practical and hard-edged, 44 is not a risk taker with a grand strategy"