Prominent cats have recently advocated the Great Satan using the military option on the table to bring Iran back to the table. Clear, timely communications like bunker busting swift spinning centrifuges or vaporizing IRRG HQ's.
"The Iranian people are smart enought to recognize the difference between an"The day after'" would be scary and dangerous. Anything less than a total regime killing, regime decapitating regime change and the Islamic Republic would unleash pure heck - from a surge of their own into Iraq to unleashing Hiz'B'Allah to act out anywhere in the world, and really bring jihad to the Great Satan.
invasion and an attack on their unpopular regime." Ex UN Ambassa John Bolton.
All true. Finger crossing aside, inaction unhappily calls into play how an Islamic Republic with deployable nukes would unleash pure heck.
Could the military option actually convince Iran to halt enrichment? An indirect approach?
"In strategy the longest way round is often the shortest way there; a direct
approach to the object exhausts the attacker and hardens the resistance by
compression, whereas an indirect approach loosens the defender's hold by
upsetting his balance."
This is significant. Attacking the B'Kah Valley in Lebanon is totally legit - Security Council Resolutions negotiated, democratically achieved by veto powered members make a case for intervention and the indirect approach.
UNSCR 1701 calls for the disarmament of Hizballah
The Be Kah Valley is the hood for Hiz'B'Allah. The original sharia law loving super villian caliphate. The Great Satan claims just vengence as the 1st Battalon 8th Marines redeems a blood debt.
"Bekaa is Hezbollah's lifeline to the outside world (especially at a time of war). Moreover, any form of Syrian or Iranian assistance comes to HezbollahGeographically the B'Kah Valley looks like a magical panzer magnet to downtown Damascus and beyond. The Little Satan has extensive experience against Hiz'B'Allah in the July August War of 2006 . The Little Satan's Air Force recently dissed Syria's conventional wisdom to the Nth.
through this area. Hezbollah's training facilities are spread across the Bekaa -- facilities that are vital, especially to a nonstate actor like Hezbollah, dependent upon support from Damascus and Tehran."
Attacking the B'Kah Valley is absolutely is essential to stymie Syrian designs in Lebanon. Confidential sources indicate the BKV:
"...is far more important for Syria, not just because of the country's historicSuch a pre emptive, preventive wicki smack by the Great Satan would most likely be interpeted in Damascus that
role as the patron of Hezbollah, but also because of its ambitions for Lebanon".
Supporting Hizbollah carries a prohibitive price Syria could respond withIt would also have the happy effect of drawing a client of Russian Air Defenseless Systems out of Iran's orbit and marginalizing Syrian influence in Lebanon and Iraq. Completing the Great Satan's Encirclement of Iran, whose fiery rhetoric is begining to sound old, played, flat out freaked out and desperate.
missile attacks against Israeli cities, but given the dilapidated state of
Syria's army, the chances are greater that Assad will simply internalize the
"Syrian ground forces deployed near the Lebanese border would be fair targets.
By eliminating 500 Syrian tanks--tanks that Syrian President Bashar Al Assad
needs to preserve his regime and presented with a choice between saving
Hezbollah and staying alive, Syria's dictator will choose the latter."
Removing a valued weapon like HBA out of Iran's armory will further unhinge the Mullah's who are increasingly isolated and may soon have their backs to the wall. The IR's economy would not be able to rebuild both the B'Kah and Hiz'B'Allah.
"Any course of military action carries risks, especially in the unpredictable ME.
The Six Day War presents a paradigm of an unwanted war that might never have
happend if a well placed strike at Syria had been undertaken."